Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.160527 0.186060 0.214348 0.248018 0.287014 0.330771 0.383623
2025-06-29 0.117774 0.151173 0.192088 0.245924 0.314962 0.400623 0.515165
2025-07-06 0.096308 0.132617 0.180284 0.247495 0.339963 0.462947 0.639385
2025-07-13 0.085179 0.124217 0.178443 0.259351 0.377255 0.543235 0.795493
2025-07-20 0.075949 0.116392 0.175383 0.267819 0.409408 0.618794 0.953358
2025-07-27 0.068516 0.109764 0.172616 0.275516 0.440324 0.695041 1.120720
2025-08-03 0.061301 0.102258 0.167200 0.277859 0.462463 0.759493 1.276664
2025-08-10 0.054247 0.093934 0.159218 0.274652 0.474608 0.808550 1.412487
2025-08-17 0.047348 0.084893 0.148808 0.265790 0.475677 0.838610 1.518686
2025-08-24 0.043958 0.081459 0.147407 0.272123 0.503474 0.916937 1.718244
2025-08-31 0.040231 0.076917 0.143444 0.273215 0.521667 0.979788 1.896458
2025-09-07 0.037394 0.073652 0.141360 0.277396 0.545810 1.055725 2.107639
2025-09-14 0.033490 0.067941 0.134175 0.271218 0.549841 1.095085 2.254543
2025-09-21 0.030465 0.063612 0.129173 0.268767 0.560996 1.149664 2.439131
2025-09-28 0.028234 0.060612 0.126427 0.270487 0.580684 1.223234 2.671566
2025-10-05 0.027311 0.060232 0.128949 0.283452 0.625368 1.353091 3.039665
2025-10-12 0.026107 0.059093 0.129729 0.292712 0.663053 1.472182 3.398483
2025-10-19 0.024923 0.057848 0.130124 0.301128 0.699768 1.593107 3.776015
2025-10-26 0.023381 0.055607 0.128060 0.303691 0.723385 1.687277 4.102733
2025-11-02 0.021549 0.052469 0.123617 0.300183 0.732351 1.748770 4.358865
2025-11-09 0.019487 0.048541 0.116912 0.290493 0.725339 1.771893 4.523814
2025-11-16 0.018660 0.047538 0.117016 0.297418 0.759848 1.898421 4.963277
2025-11-23 0.017556 0.045712 0.114927 0.298613 0.780082 1.992054 5.329654